In Brandenburg, voters are deciding the future of the regional parliament and potentially the coalition government of Chancellor Olaf Scholz. The Social Democrats (SPD), in power since 1990, face a strong challenge from the far-right Alternative für Deutschland (AfD), which led pre-election polls. SPD’s leader, Dietmar Woidke, has pledged to resign if the AfD wins. The new Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance (BSW) could become a kingmaker. Established parties refuse to form a coalition with the AfD. The Greens and FDP risk missing the 5% threshold to enter parliament.