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The tracking map uses data from the National Hurricane Center and Joint Typhoon Warning Center to show storm probabilities over five days, excluding areas north of 60.25°N. The wind arrivals table, based on New York Times analysis, predicts when sustained winds of 58 mph or more might hit select cities, using data from the U.S. Census Bureau and Natural Earth. Time zones are sourced from Google. There’s a 10% chance winds arrive before the “earliest reasonable” time and a 50% chance before the “most likely” time.

Thousands of North Korean troops have arrived in Kursk, Russia, ahead of a potential counteroffensive by Moscow against Ukrainian forces. These troops, from an elite North Korean unit, have not yet engaged in combat but are expected to support Russian efforts to reclaim territory seized by Ukraine in August. Ukraine estimates up to 12,000 North Korean soldiers are involved, with 5,000 expected in Kursk by Monday. Ukrainian President Zelensky warned of a potential deployment to the battlefield, calling it a “clear escalation” by Russia. Meanwhile, Ukraine continues to use drones effectively against Russian targets.

Russia struck the Mechnikov Hospital in Dnipro, Ukraine, killing at least five people, including a child, and injuring 21 others. Ukrainian President Zelensky condemned the attack, highlighting the hospital’s importance and criticizing Russia’s continued aggression despite international calls for peace. The strike damaged multiple city locations, including residential buildings. Dnipro’s mayor described the devastation, while Kyiv also faced a drone attack. Zelensky emphasized the need for decisive action to defend Ukraine.

Hezbollah launched an airstrike on Tel Nof airbase near Tel Aviv using attack drones, marking its first aerial attack in a year. Concurrently, Hezbollah fired rockets at Israeli forces near Aita al-Shaab in southern Lebanon. Sirens sounded across northern Israel, including Nahariya, Acre, and Galilee regions, due to drone threats. The Islamic Resistance in Iraq also claimed drone attacks on Israeli targets in the Jordan Valley and Acre, retaliating against Israeli actions in Gaza and Lebanon. Since October 7, Israeli offensives have resulted in over 42,874 Palestinian deaths.

Georgia’s ruling Georgian Dream party leads in a pivotal election, with 53% of votes counted, according to the central election commission. The pro-EU opposition claims the election was “stolen,” citing discrepancies with exit polls. Opposition leaders accuse the ruling party of a “constitutional coup” amid reports of vote violations and violence. The election is seen as a crucial choice between aligning with Europe or Russia. Exit polls showed conflicting results, with opposition groups claiming a majority, while a government-supporting channel showed Georgian Dream leading.

Israeli forces withdrew from Kamal Adwan Hospital in northern Gaza after detaining dozens of medics and patients, causing significant damage. The hospital, a crucial facility, was raided and shelled amid Israel’s offensive. The Health Ministry urged WHO to evacuate the wounded. Many medics were detained, though some were later released. WHO’s Tedros Adhanom highlighted critical shortages of medical supplies. The raid left the hospital in disarray, with widespread damage and reports of humiliating treatment of those sheltering there.

In Sudan’s Gezira state, RSF attacks have killed dozens and displaced thousands, according to aid groups. The RSF, battling the army since April 2023, targeted villages like al-Sireha, killing at least 50 people in one day. The conflict, driven by a power struggle between RSF leader Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo and army chief Abdel Fattah al-Burhan, has displaced over 10 million people. Recent RSF attacks are linked to the defection of RSF commander Abuagla Keikal. The Sudan Doctors Union described eastern Gezira as a “brutal war zone.”

Russia is closely monitoring elections in Georgia and Moldova, aiming to influence them towards its orbit rather than European engagement. In Georgia, the ruling party’s actions could undermine free elections, potentially benefiting Russia. Moldova’s recent vote favored EU progress despite alleged pro-Russian interference. Both countries face pivotal moments amid Russia’s broader geopolitical ambitions, with the ongoing war in Ukraine as a significant backdrop.

On Day 386 of the Israel-Lebanon conflict, over 180 rockets were fired from Lebanon into northern Israel, primarily within a three-hour window. The IDF responded with airstrikes on military targets in Iran, claiming retaliation for ongoing Iranian attacks. In Gaza, the IDF expanded the Al-Mawasi humanitarian zone. Hezbollah warned Israeli settlers to evacuate, labeling them targets. Meanwhile, Mossad and Egyptian intelligence chiefs met to discuss a hostage deal ahead of a Qatar summit. Iran denied Israeli airspace breaches, asserting missile strikes caused minor damage. U.S. VP Harris reaffirmed support for Israel against Iranian aggression.

Tropical Storm Trami caused severe flooding and landslides in the Philippines, leaving at least 85 dead and 41 missing. President Ferdinand Marcos noted many areas remain isolated, with ongoing rescue efforts. The storm overwhelmed flood controls, dumping unprecedented rainfall. Over 5 million people were affected, with nearly half a million seeking refuge in emergency shelters. Marcos plans a major flood control project to address climate change threats. Concerns were raised about the storm potentially reversing course due to high-pressure winds in the South China Sea.

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